真.攬抄巴
英國首相Boris Johnson上年大EU硬脫歐,結果兩邊响最後關頭傾掂咗原則,大家要响2021年1月1號前完成脫歐後貿易協議。
可能經歷咗疫情(加埋自己大難不死),已經無嘢識驚,呢條友又再黎攬抄絕技,限EU 10月15號前埋枱傾掂,如果唔係就算L數。
"If we can’t agree by then, then I do not see that there will be a free-trade agreement between us, and we should both accept that and move on.”
仲要話No-deal係好事( “good outcome”),會令英國更強大(“prosper mightily”)。
#別人笑我太瘋癲
報導:
《The Times》
No-deal can be a good outcome, insists PM
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/no-deal-can-be-a-good-outcome-insists-pm-92v0vmlc0
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同時也有1部Youtube影片,追蹤數超過4,500的網紅林佳龍,也在其Youtube影片中提到,今(24)日立法委員林佳龍在外交及國防委員會針對「中日韓三國簽屬自由貿易協定(FTA)對台灣的影響,以及我國洽簽自由貿易協定(FTA)及泛太平洋戰略經濟夥伴關係協定(TPP)之進度」專案報告中質詢外交部次長董國猷及經濟部次長梁國新。 馬總統在就職演說中提到「加速與新加坡、紐西蘭等重要經濟貿易...
「free trade agreement中文」的推薦目錄:
- 關於free trade agreement中文 在 Goodbye HK, Hello UK Facebook 的最讚貼文
- 關於free trade agreement中文 在 陳冠廷 Kuan-Ting Chen Facebook 的最佳貼文
- 關於free trade agreement中文 在 iiiNNO Taiwan Facebook 的精選貼文
- 關於free trade agreement中文 在 林佳龍 Youtube 的精選貼文
- 關於free trade agreement中文 在 【3秒搞懂WTO】 多邊貿易協定Multilateral Trade... - 中華經濟 ... 的評價
free trade agreement中文 在 陳冠廷 Kuan-Ting Chen Facebook 的最佳貼文
I have recently perused Nicholas Kristof’s NYT piece “China’s Man in Washington, Named Trump”(https://nyti.ms/3h2JXh8). One paragraph in particular caught my attention: “A joke in China suggests that Trump’s Chinese name is Chuan Jianguo, or “Build-the-Country Trump.” That’s because Build-the-Country is a common revolutionary name among Communist patriots, and it’s mockingly suggested that Trump’s misrule of the United States is actually bolstering Xi’s regime.”
Kristoff also avows that since Trump’s ascension to presidency, the American nation became highly polarized. This is reflected in the current administration’s policies on climate change, foreign relations with established U.S. allies, and COVID-19 prevention, all of which are rather ineffective. It also seems like Mr. Trump and his team diverged from the traditional priorities, including promoting free trade, human rights, and other quintessentially American values. As described thoroughly by John Bolton, all these factors contributed to the declining standing of the U.S. in global politics.
What is more, many people fall prey to CCP’s propaganda and its interpretations of Trump’s actions, which only enhances China’s reputation.
But that might not exactly be the case.
The CCP apparently failed to utilize the window of opportunity created by the ineptness of the Trump administration, as China could have grown to the position of a leader by filling in the void left by the U.S.
During the 2016 APEC Ministerial Meeting in Lima, Peru, Xi Jinping and his team actively supported the plans to establish the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) and a Free Trade Area of the Asia Pacific, or FTAAP. In contrast, the United States withdrew its signature from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) in early 2017. Coupled with China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and the establishment of the Asian Infrastructure and Investment Bank (AIIB), this move bolstered China’s capacity to influence global investments and trade, high-tech mergers and acquisitions, and, overall, expand its geostrategic influence on the entire globe.
At the same time, various propaganda films about great power competition, military industry, and science and technology surged all at once, and gained remarkable following around the world.
All this provided a window of opportunity for the CCP to slowly change its course. Around the same time, the distrust for POTUS among U.S. allies’ reached its apex. According to polls conducted by the Pew Research Center, the distrust for the U.S. president in the U.K. reached 75%, 72% in Japan, 70% in Australia, and stunning 86% in France.
Had the C.C.P,. begun to open up at that time, or at least resumed the governance style of the Hu-Wen administration, it could have reaped the benefits of promoting liberalism where the U.S. failed to deliver. It was the time for Beijing to gradually enhance freedom of speech domestically, pursue sustainable infrastructural projects, gradually reform unfair barriers to trade, transform its S.O.E.s, strengthen protections for private ownership, and vitalize its start-ups and enterprises.
Moreover, were China to cease the genocide in East Turkestan and refrain from cracking down on Hong Kong's semi-autonomy, it would have greatly enhanced its global international image. Additionally, if paired with slow but steady reforms, Beijing’s respect for sovereignty of its peoples would have attracted a large amount of foreign investment, which in turn would have continued to buttress the country’s growth.
It is China prerogative to remain idle.
It might still be possible for Chinese “Dream” to come true.
Yet, a historic window of opportunity is now closed.
Xi assumed the tools of proscribing and stalling, which are completely antithetical to the aforementioned window of opportunity.
Today, China is more authoritarian, less flexible, and fully deprived of horizontal accountability. Its reliance on wolf warrior diplomacy backfired: for example, the Swedish parliament sought to expel the Chinese ambassador to Stockholm. Also, Prague, the capital of Czechia, terminated its sister-city agreement with Shanghai and instead signed a new one with Taipei. Last but not least, we ought not to forget about the recent fiasco in the relations with the United States who ordered the shutdown of China’s consulate in Houston. All of this took its toll on China’s reputation.
Its international standing and inability to replace the U.S. as the major global power are not the only issues China is currently facing.
As it experiences multiple domestic and international shocks, China struggles to combat the COVID-19 pandemic and tame the disastrous floods of Yangtze River. The swarm of locusts of biblical proportions is also crippling Beijing’s institutional capacity and may soon lead to food shortages. In fact, the precarity of food supply further diminishes the level of trust for Chinese authorities.
In 2019, the Pew Research Center conducted a public opinion survey to examine the international views of China. In the U.S., Argentina, the U.K., Canada, Germany, and Ukraine, only about 30% of respondents claim a favorable view of China.
As the COVID-19 pandemic rages in the U.S., as many as 73% of U.S. respondents view China unfavorably.
Recently, the C.C.P. is losing its focus by continuously shifting targets. In fact, I believe there is no need for the C.C.P.to rely on nationalistic appeals, since in this new century values, business relations, and fair competition are all far more important than greater than delusive blood ties.
China lies only 130 kilometers away from us. Of course, we welcome dialogue and seek to avoid misjudgments. But we also distinguish between the C.C.P. and China. While we do welcome dialogue, but we will not be coerced to talk under unjust preconditions or in fear.
The only fair prerequisites are those of reciprocity, mutual respect as well as fairness and openness with respect for the rule of law.
Source: Pew Research Center
最近看到紐約時報中文版的一篇文章
<美國的川普,中國的「川建國」>,其中一小段是這樣的
「在中國,人們戲稱川普的中文名字是川建國。那是因為建國是共產黨愛國者中一個普遍的革命人名。它在諷刺地暗示川普對美國的治理不當實際上是在鞏固習近平的政權。」
裡面也提到,川普在任的幾年,國家更分裂,對於氣候變遷,傳統美國盟友,乃至於疫情處理等都相當拙劣,對於美國傳統的自由貿易、人權等價值也基本上都沒有太大興趣。這些方針,導致美國在世界的評價降低,波頓的新書也多有描述。
除此之外,許多不幸相信中共宣傳,又或者是中共圈養的小粉紅,特別故意愛宣傳川普增強中國的威望。
但這不是真的。
中共完全沒有掌握美國做得不夠好的地方,去增強其在世界的領導力。
在2016年時,秘魯的亞太峰會舉行期間,習近平政權爭取(RCEP)及亞太自由貿易區(FTAAP)談判;對比2017年初,美國剛宣布退出TPP,加上中國到「一帶一路」和亞洲基礎設施投資銀行,中國當時在世界全面發揮投資貿易、高科技併購還有其地緣戰略的影響力。
也是那個時候,各種的大國崛起、大國軍工、大國科技的宣傳影片此起彼落,似乎正準備要在世界舞台發光發熱。
這曾經是中共慢慢轉向的一個機會之窗。彼時(2017)美國盟友對美國總統的不信任度達到歷史新高,根據皮尤研究中心的資訊,英國對於美國總統的不信任度達到75%、日本72% 澳洲70% 法國更高達86%
如果那時中共開始有限度的改革,對內放寬言論自由,或者至少維持在胡溫當時的水中,對外追求有責任的基礎建設,逐步緩慢減低不公平的貿易壁壘,對於國有企業改革,增強私營企業、新創企業的活力。
停止對新疆迫害,不干預香港自治,不僅國際形象會大幅改善,哪怕是緩慢但是穩健的改革,也會讓大量吸引外資,讓中國的活力持續前進。
哪怕是什麼都不做也好
那或許有這麽一點可能性,中國「夢」是可以前行的
但是歷史機緣的大門已經關上。
習、禁、停、放棄了這個機會之窗,徹底的走向相反的方向。
更專制、更沒有彈性,更沒有任何制衡的力量。各種戰狼外交,讓瑞典議員提案驅逐中國大使,捷克布拉格市長與台北簽訂姊妹是,就解散上海與該市關係、被美國關閉領事館、各種讓中國形象低下的事情,中共都沒有少做。
中共不但完全沒有辦法取代美國,在多重國內外的衝擊之下,又是瘟疫,又是超大水患,緊接著蝗害,還有進來的糧食不足問題,正在面臨巨大的瓶頸。
而糧食的命脈,卻恰恰又在對他最不信任,對中共價值最反對的國家聯盟
根據皮尤研究中心:Pew Research Center2019調查各國對中國的喜好度,美國、阿根廷、英國、加拿大、德國、烏克蘭等,對於中國的喜好度都在30%上下
而2020疫情後美國對於中國的不信任度,更高達73%。
最近中共在演習,又要玩轉移目標的手段,對於中共,其實不必再有民族主義的同情,因為新的世紀,價值、商業模式、公平競爭的制度大於血緣幻想。
中國離我們只有130公里的距離,我們當然歡迎對話,避免誤判。但我們同時也區分中共與中國,歡迎對話,但不在前提、條件、恐懼之下對話。
如果真的要有前提,那就是對等、尊重,還有公平公開法治的方式會晤。
資料來源:皮尤研究中心:Pew Research Center
(美國著名的民調機構和智庫機構,https://www.pewresearch.org/)
free trade agreement中文 在 iiiNNO Taiwan Facebook 的精選貼文
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free trade agreement中文 在 林佳龍 Youtube 的精選貼文
今(24)日立法委員林佳龍在外交及國防委員會針對「中日韓三國簽屬自由貿易協定(FTA)對台灣的影響,以及我國洽簽自由貿易協定(FTA)及泛太平洋戰略經濟夥伴關係協定(TPP)之進度」專案報告中質詢外交部次長董國猷及經濟部次長梁國新。
馬總統在就職演說中提到「加速與新加坡、紐西蘭等重要經濟貿易夥伴洽簽經濟貿易合作協議」,台灣和新加坡洽簽FTA在時程上有所延宕,林佳龍委員質問真正的原因是什麼?當時跟中國簽ECFA時不但沒有跟新加坡併著簽FTA,反而還驅動了中國去跟日本韓國簽FTA,致使我國的總產值因此減少159億美元,出口貿易將減少4個百分點,造成重大衝擊,真是賠了夫人又折兵,這就是當初政府沒有策略規劃好。林佳龍委員指出,所以現在亡羊補牢,應盡速與東南亞國家洽簽FTA,林佳龍委員詢問經濟部: 「次長,與新加坡簽FTA還需要一年還是十年?」梁次長回答,盡量朝一年之內洽簽。
林佳龍委員提出最該簽的是台印FTA,目前已有50多家台商在印度投資,總金額超過12億美元。林佳龍委員認為,印度在戰略上不但跟台灣沒有衝突,而且還是可以創造雙贏,因為印度不可能與中國簽訂類似協定,而且印度政府已經表達高度意願與台灣簽訂FTA,認為促進與台灣貿易可以減少對中國的依賴。梁次長回答,目前印度國內貿易自由化及開放程度較低,還在做簽定FTA的可行性評估。林佳龍委員要求外交部、經濟部「將印度列為洽簽FTA優先國家群,有沒有問題?」梁次長點頭表示願意將印度列為優先洽簽考量。
林佳龍委員問梁次長,中國已跟紐西蘭簽訂FTA,裡面有沒有涉及到一國兩制? 梁次長回答:沒有,一國兩制不是貿易協定的內容。林佳龍委員繼續追問紐西蘭及香港的FTA合約中有沒有提到一國兩制 ? 梁次長回答,原則上不應該有,但香港模式是以單獨關稅領域名義WTO的會員去簽定,不確定有沒有。林佳龍委員提醒外交部及經濟部,中國與香港跟紐西蘭簽訂FTA的內容不一樣,台灣在洽簽時一定要注意不要出現一國兩制的內容,被港澳化,去國家化,自失國格。
FTA好像又回到十年前,台灣跟新加坡FTA還沒簽,現在又把新加坡、紐西蘭列為洽簽經濟合作協議(ECA)的中型經濟體。為什麼中日韓簽的是FTA,我們台灣跟別國簽的就是ECA?,從FTA(Free Trade Agreement)到ECA(Economic Cooperation Agreement )同樣都是Agreement,中文卻從協定到協議,分明是魚目混珠,有偷天換日的嫌疑,到底有甚麼居心在裡面?林佳龍要求經濟部改回經濟合作協定,最好是回到FTA。經濟部同意林委員會將協議改回協定。
林佳龍委員質詢董次長,駐美代表袁健生前天宴請美方代表團吃澳洲牛排,為推銷美牛,袁健生竟說,台灣都是澳洲牛,「又硬又難切,美方代表團吃不慣也不好意思說」,在國際場合發表消遣澳洲牛肉的言論,實在很失禮,「董次長,你認為這樣符合外交禮儀?很妥適?有一點妥適?還好?有一點不妥適?很不妥適?是屬於哪一個?」 董次長不敢回答,直說若是他,他不會如此發言。林佳龍委員提出,蘇起認為馬政府之所以狀況百出政績差癥結就是政務官文官化,用了文官當政務官,以服從為主的事務官,又缺乏替政策辯護的勇氣。林佳龍委員認為其實關鍵在領導者,是將帥無能累死三軍,台語說「不會駛船嫌溪窄」,本來想為事務官抱不平,但從事務官升任政務官的董次長不敢評論自己外交部內屬下的言論,又坐實蘇起所說的,用了文官當政務官,沒有擔當!

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