[咩國家最倚賴貿易?]答案你應該估唔到。
1. 彭博篇文仲有好多好有趣嘅圖(https://bloom.bg/3b5fOLu),但我只講呢張。Trade as a share of GDP(*),貿易額佔GDP幾多巴仙
2. 美國,相當低,28%,可能好多人都會估到。人口夠大,地又多,資源豐富,錢又多,科技亦勁,唔使討論嘅第一大強國,齋內需都夠,其實唔係好使靠咩貿易,亦所以開打貿易戰好似幾合理—佢唔使點靠貿易。Fair enough
3. 但,中國,其實都好低,唔高過美國幾多,38%。就好多人估唔到了。喂,世界工廠喎。但不能忽視中國十九幾億人喎,內需一樣好強勁,你見好多品牌根本唔使做外國生意(美國亦都係),亦都係因為咁嘅原因,你見啲科企獨角獸都係中美居多。當然,附注(*)會講,你其他產業都會受貿易影響嘅。
4. 睇埋其他,表度最大嘅係盧森堡,387%,不意外,其實我唔知盧森堡除咗有間鋼鐵廠ArcelorMittal上市同洗黑錢外仲有乜產業。「即係香港再加間鋼廠」。
5. 另外,係咪大國(計人口)內需市場大就一定唔多依賴貿易?又未必,越南就夠大(成億人呀大佬,多過咩德國法國英國),但名列前矛,387%。其實有人話係類似中國咁,出口為主—但中國明明就排得好低。所以一係就係越南係廿年三十年前嘅中國(但睇返,即使係最高時,2006年,中國都未到70%),一係就越南仲係太窮。
6. 留意越南真係歐拉牙。去到200%樓上嘅,基本上全部都係小國,新加坡馬耳他盧森堡之類,即使愛爾蘭匈牙利阿聯猶之類都唔過1000萬人—但越南成億人。成億人嘅國家入面,好似冇一個過100%
7. 係咪有錢又多人就唔會太依賴?又唔係喎。德國都幾高,遠高於中國,去到89%。G20入面最高了。
8. 同樣都算富有又多人又好似係出口大國嘅日本呢?反而係極低。圖度冇,但應該只係高過美國少少,低過中國。
9. 至於香港嘛,「香港幾時變咗國家?」。圖度冇。不過你估都估到高,我搵到梳屎話300%左右,高唔過盧森堡,但在圖上面都頭幾位了。當然香港仲有四大產業:包括飲食(渣鑊鏟),建築(「搭棚」), 印刷(出公仔紙)同埋水務(cap水)
10. 另外,巴西同阿根廷,都係極低的,唔係出口唔少農產品咩?但留意,計$喎。一架飛機其實頂你好多甘庶牛肉。另外蘇丹尼日利亞都極低,四個國家都係大,人口多。
11. 結論?其實好似係冇嘅,冇話高好定低好。當然你可以話高嘅太依賴貿易好危險,但其實小國好多都係咁,根本冇得揀,因為內需市場太細。
12. 仲有就係,相當有趣地,打貿易戰最兇嘅國家,中國美國,其實個數字都好低嘅。
13. 維基都有呢啲資料,可能有少少唔同,就自己研究點解(http://bit.ly/36Kmgo5)
(*)留意兩樣嘢。首先,呢個Trade/GDP量度當然可以質疑。貿易額唔大嘅嘢,都可以好重要,例如美國禁晶片,或者中國啲稀土,或者日韓貿易戰時啲材料,唔使好貴嘅嘢,但夠拖冧你啲產業。另外,我成日都懷疑呢啲Trade/GDP嘅量度有冇意義,正如你睇香港會講乜乜行業佔幾多GDP,但實際上根本不能咁分開嚟睇。有個講法話大陸要靠香港拎美金之類云云,真假不重要,但見到係,你金融業佔嘅 GDP未必好多,但冇咗佢你就仆得街。
同時也有1部Youtube影片,追蹤數超過7萬的網紅Uncle Siu,也在其Youtube影片中提到,一段關係中的弱者,真係無好日子過,唉。讀到這首 sonnet,不得不同情我們的老莎。 Farewell! Thou art too dear for my possession, And like enough thou know'st thy estimate: The charter of t...
fair enough英國 在 君子馬蘭頭 - Ivan Li 李聲揚 Facebook 的最讚貼文
[咩國家最倚賴貿易?]答案你應該估唔到。
1. 彭博篇文仲有好多好有趣嘅圖(https://bloom.bg/3b5fOLu),但我只講呢張。Trade as a share of GDP(*),貿易額佔GDP幾多巴仙
2. 美國,相當低,28%,可能好多人都會估到。人口夠大,地又多,資源豐富,錢又多,科技亦勁,唔使討論嘅第一大強國,齋內需都夠,其實唔係好使靠咩貿易,亦所以開打貿易戰好似幾合理—佢唔使點靠貿易。Fair enough
3. 但,中國,其實都好低,唔高過美國幾多,38%。就好多人估唔到了。喂,世界工廠喎。但不能忽視中國十九幾億人喎,內需一樣好強勁,你見好多品牌根本唔使做外國生意(美國亦都係),亦都係因為咁嘅原因,你見啲科企獨角獸都係中美居多。當然,附注(*)會講,你其他產業都會受貿易影響嘅。
4. 睇埋其他,表度最大嘅係盧森堡,387%,不意外,其實我唔知盧森堡除咗有間鋼鐵廠ArcelorMittal上市同洗黑錢外仲有乜產業。「即係香港再加間鋼廠」。
5. 另外,係咪大國(計人口)內需市場大就一定唔多依賴貿易?又未必,越南就夠大(成億人呀大佬,多過咩德國法國英國),但名列前矛,387%。其實有人話係類似中國咁,出口為主—但中國明明就排得好低。所以一係就係越南係廿年三十年前嘅中國(但睇返,即使係最高時,2006年,中國都未到70%),一係就越南仲係太窮。
6. 留意越南真係歐拉牙。去到200%樓上嘅,基本上全部都係小國,新加坡馬耳他盧森堡之類,即使愛爾蘭匈牙利阿聯猶之類都唔過1000萬人—但越南成億人。成億人嘅國家入面,好似冇一個過100%
7. 係咪有錢又多人就唔會太依賴?又唔係喎。德國都幾高,遠高於中國,去到89%。G20入面最高了。
8. 同樣都算富有又多人又好似係出口大國嘅日本呢?反而係極低。圖度冇,但應該只係高過美國少少,低過中國。
9. 至於香港嘛,「香港幾時變咗國家?」。圖度冇。不過你估都估到高,我搵到梳屎話300%左右,高唔過盧森堡,但在圖上面都頭幾位了。當然香港仲有四大產業:包括飲食(渣鑊鏟),建築(「搭棚」), 印刷(出公仔紙)同埋水務(cap水)
10. 另外,巴西同阿根廷,都係極低的,唔係出口唔少農產品咩?但留意,計$喎。一架飛機其實頂你好多甘庶牛肉。另外蘇丹尼日利亞都極低,四個國家都係大,人口多。
11. 結論?其實好似係冇嘅,冇話高好定低好。當然你可以話高嘅太依賴貿易好危險,但其實小國好多都係咁,根本冇得揀,因為內需市場太細。
12. 仲有就係,相當有趣地,打貿易戰最兇嘅國家,中國美國,其實個數字都好低嘅。
13. 維基都有呢啲資料,可能有少少唔同,就自己研究點解(http://bit.ly/36Kmgo5)
(*)留意兩樣嘢。首先,呢個Trade/GDP量度當然可以質疑。貿易額唔大嘅嘢,都可以好重要,例如美國禁晶片,或者中國啲稀土,或者日韓貿易戰時啲材料,唔使好貴嘅嘢,但夠拖冧你啲產業。另外,我成日都懷疑呢啲Trade/GDP嘅量度有冇意義,正如你睇香港會講乜乜行業佔幾多GDP,但實際上根本不能咁分開嚟睇。有個講法話大陸要靠香港拎美金之類云云,真假不重要,但見到係,你金融業佔嘅 GDP未必好多,但冇咗佢你就仆得街。
fair enough英國 在 蕭叔叔英式英文學會 Uncle Siu's British English Club Facebook 的最佳解答
#蕭叔叔的英國文學課【千萬不要養狗】
英國詩人Rudyard Kipling忠告大家,千萬唔好養狗。
養狗之人,終要面對生離死別。詩人說,人生本來已經夠苦,何必再添悲傷呢?所以他說:
"Brothers and sister I bid you beware of giving your heart to a dog to tear."
蕭叔叔
原文:The Power of the Dog
by Rudyard Kipling
THERE is sorrow enough in the natural way
From men and women to fill our day;
And when we are certain of sorrow in store,
Why do we always arrange for more?
Brothers and sisters, I bid you beware
Of giving your heart to a dog to tear.
Buy a pup and your money will buy
Love unflinching that cannot lie
Perfect passion and worship fed
By a kick in the ribs or a pat on the head.
Nevertheless it is hardly fair
To risk your heart for a dog to tear.
When the fourteen years which Nature permits
Are closing in asthma, or tumour, or fits,
And the vet's unspoken prescription runs
To lethal chambers or loaded guns,
Then you will find - it's your own affair, -
But ... you've given your heart to a dog to tear.
When the body that lived at your single will,
With its whimper of welcome, is stilled (how still!),
When the spirit that answered your every mood
Is gone - wherever it goes - for good,
You will discover how much you care,
And will give your heart to a dog to tear!
We've sorrow enough in the natural way,
When it comes to burying Christian clay.
Our loves are not given, but only lent,
At compound interest of cent per cent,
Though it is not always the case, I believe,
That the longer we've kept 'em, the more do we grieve;
For, when debts are payable, right or wrong,
A short-time loan is as bad as a long -
So why in - Heaven (before we are there)
Should we give our hearts to a dog to tear?
fair enough英國 在 Uncle Siu Youtube 的最佳貼文
一段關係中的弱者,真係無好日子過,唉。讀到這首 sonnet,不得不同情我們的老莎。
Farewell! Thou art too dear for my possession,
And like enough thou know'st thy estimate:
The charter of thy worth gives thee releasing;
My bonds in thee are all determinate.
For how do I hold thee but by thy granting?
And for that riches where is my deserving?
The cause of this fair gift in me is wanting,
And so my patent back again is swerving.
Thyself thou gav'st, thy own worth then not knowing,
Or me, to whom thou gav'st it, else mistaking;
So thy great gift, upon misprision growing,
Comes home again, on better judgment making.
Thus have I had thee, as a dream doth flatter,
In sleep a king, but, waking, no such matter.
現代英文翻譯:試譯中。請 stay tuned to my blog:
http://siuenglish.com
蕭愷一
![post-title](https://i.ytimg.com/vi/C_Kx1-k0420/hqdefault.jpg)